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dKos Poll: Who Are These Democrats Who Want to Impeach Obama?
On Tuesday, David mentioned that in the latest DailyKos/SEIU/PPP poll, 14% of Democrats support impeaching President Obama. David suggested this shows some people don’t know what the term...
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The Palin vs. Obama Map: Are Early Polls Any Use?
The good people at PPP have been busy lately, polling about half the states asking questions about potential Republican candidates and their performance versus Obama. At first glance it seems silly to...
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The Stuff of Republican Nightmares
“The atheist Muslims are coming to get us! The country is dying!” cries the right, and it is easy to recognize the fear behind the words. Or, in more restrained cases, simply a discomfort, a feeling...
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Polling analysis: Republicans in trouble on marriage equality, Obama probably...
In 2011, PPP asked 11,995 registered voters their opinion on gay marriage on behalf of DailyKos and SEIU. With this many responses, we can answer some questions about where public opinion stood last...
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Views on Marriage Equality by State: Might Obama Benefit in Swing States? and...
So the excitement of last week's announcement has died down a bit, but I've finally gotten together the polling numbers by state, with decent numbers for 43 states, thanks to the relentless work of...
View ArticleNC Gay Marriage Ban Would Have Passed Even With Phenomenal African-American...
After crunching numbers and playing with some simulations this morning, it is clear that even if North Carolina's African-American population were more liberal on the issue of gay marriage than the...
View ArticleDailyKos Poll: 12% Changed 2012 Vote Based on Obama's Gay Marriage Stance......
Today's DailyKos/SEIU/PPP poll has an interesting pair of questions that directly measures what effect Obama's position on marriage equality has had on the election. A whopping 12% say that President...
View ArticleDaily Kos Poll: Undecideds Don't Like Bain or Trump
A quick follow-up to today's post on the Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP poll, while you're on the edge of your seat waiting for Wisconsin results and a bonanza of additional primary contests today.The poll asked...
View ArticleBeyond the Margin of Error: When Polls Fail, or Why Elizabeth Warren Will...
Sunday, October 29, 2006, the news broke: Jerry Brady, Democratic candidate for Governor of Idaho, was just one point behind his opponent. On Tuesday, we learned the Cook Political Report changed the...
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This Is What Leadership Looks Like: Broad-Based Increase in Support for...
In 2011 and early 2012, support for marriage equality was increasing at a rate of about two percentage points per year, while opposition was decreasing at the same rate, for a change in the margin of...
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Beyond the Margin of Error: Presidential Polls Are Almost Always Right, Even...
Polling in the 2008 Presidential general election worked really well, at a time when the whole nation was paying attention. Polling averages correctly predicted the winner of every state except...
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Beyond the Margin of Error: Why State Polls Look More Favorable for Obama...
Recently, it has seemed that looking at polling on a state-by-state basis is far more favorable to Obama than looking at national polling. The question is, is this really true? And if so,...
View ArticleAggregated Daily Kos Polling Shows Obama and Romney Tied in Texas. No, really.
Over the period of April 12 - July 1, 662 respondents to the Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP State of the Nation poll were reached at a Texas phone number. Among these respondents, Obama and Romney were tied...
View ArticleThe Political Climate and House Races in California
There's probably not too many people on the edge of their seats waiting for a new poll to see how Obama is doing in California. But California does have 14 races on the Daily Kos Elections House Race...
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1 in 5 Romney Voters Still Does Not Have a Favorable Opinion of Romney
The Republican primaries were essentially over months ago by now. Romney should be basking in his winner's glow and consolidating his base. But that's not exactly what's happening. Of respondents to...
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The pollsters: Who's good, who's not, and how bouncy they all are
Polls, polls, and more polls. They can make your head spin. We've had about 200 independent samples of the national presidential race alone since the beginning of the year.Which means we have enough...
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Beyond the Margin of Error (4): Why Don't People Know Where They Live in the...
A small portion of poll respondents don't seem to know where they live. At least, in DailyKos/SEIU/PPP polling, approximately 5-9% misidentify their region (after weighting by age) depending on the...
View ArticleBeyond the Margin of Error (5): This is Why We Can't Have Nice Things
So in early 2011 I was pretty excited to notice that the Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP poll had changed their racial demographic question to include Asian as a category. This meant that eventually, after...
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Beyond the Margin of Error (6): The Curious Incident of the Young Republican...
In the last post I ended with the phrase 'Beware the crosstabs.' Today I will expand on that.Here's what happens if you break down the aggregated Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP polling to date by race and age....
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Beyond the Margin of Error (7): How to Stop Worrying and Love the Toplines
In the last few posts of this series we've seen how some of the numbers for minorities in the PPP polls are unreliable. But their toplines are right in line with other polls this year, and, on average,...
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