We said the polls would be wrong. We had no idea they'd be this wrong

So a few days ago I wrote a post about how the polls can be wrong. I showed how over the past ten years, polls have more often than not overestimated Republican performance. And I warned that we usually see the polls underestimate Republicans in conservative states, and we had a lot of close elections in conservative states.

And yeah, we sure did have some polling errors. Errors like nothing we've seen in the past ten years. And almost all erring on the same side of the partisan divide.

When circles are below the diagonal line, the average of the margins of polls overestimated Democratic performance. That is, Democrats did worse in the election than the polls said they would. For instance, Pryor lost in Arkansas by about 17 points. Even Rasmussen only had him down 7 points. The polling average was off by almost 13 points in total.

Of all the circles on the graph above, only four are above the diagonal line—and only slightly. The rest vary from below the line, to way below the line.

All the races are shown below the fold.